Analysis of Klaviyo Inc. Stock

Klaviyo recently went public for the first time. 2022 did not have many IPOs (initial public offering) as the market was down, so I have been very happy to see companies having more faith this year and going public. That said, I normally do not invest in IPOs as a general rule as I want to wait and see where the stock ends up. Klaviyo, however, does interest me as a company. Is the stock a buy?

Klaviyo is a marketing automation platform that mostly works with SMS and email. That is what piqued my interest in this company. That is obviously a very valuable service, and a company built around this is one I like the idea of owning if I can buy it at a good price.

Klaviyo is currently trading at around an $8 billion valuation. At this valuation, one is buying this company at a price/sales ratio of 13.57. With this in mind, I believe that the company is very very overvalued. That is, of course, to be expected though as its a high growth company.

One thing that I keep seeing brought up as a negative for Klaviyo is how dependent they are on Shopify. Shopify is responsible for a lot of the company’s revenue. Investors must understand that if Shopify ever stopped working with Klaviyo that it would be a huge hit on their revenue. I’m not really worried about that though. Shopify is one of Klaviyo’s biggest investors so hurting Klaviyo would hurt them.

I personally would not buy Klaviyo at its current valuation. I think the stock will fall in the short term, and if it falls enough, I will then buy shares in the company. I hope that it does happen as I do want to buy this stock.

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Holding Companies for the Long-Term

I think investing is very fun, but my actual strategy is very boring. At least, it could easily be perceived as boring. Every stock I buy, for the most part, is one that I plan to hold for many years. I really don’t ever plan to sell stocks, but I will if they start trading much higher than I think they should be. The goal, however, is to never sell.

Many people claim that this is not a good strategy because without selling, the gains from a company’s increase in value is never realized. While true, I look for companies that are going to pay me cash flow. I treat investing in stocks like one would invest in farmland. If one buys a farm, they probably aren’t checking quotes for that land every day. They are running a farm to get cash flow on that land. Maybe eventually they will sell the land, but they are owning it for the cash flow. I buy businesses for cash flow. I then use that cash flow to buy more companies so that I can get even more cash flow from them.

When I look at a stock, I am not looking for something that I can flip for a higher value in a few months. I am looking for a company that I can own for decades that will steadily increase the amount of cash flow that it is paying me. Obviously, I want the company to increase in value as well over those decades, but it is not something I have any plans at all to sell.

This is my personal strategy. If I find a company trading at a good valuation that is steadily increasing their earnings per share year-over-year, I will buy that stock. I’m not saying it is the best strategy, but it is my strategy.

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Thoughts on Bitcoin for Q4 2023

At time of writing, Bitcoin currently is trading at $26.5k.

If one would have invested in Bitcoin at the beginning of the year, they would currently be up 59.4%. This is obviously a nice year to date return, but Bitcoin is still very far from its all-time high of around $69k a coin. Now that we are in Q4 of this year, here are my current thoughts on Bitcoin.

Right now, there is some positive developments in the space. There are many companies competing to bring a spot Bitcoin ETF to market. This would be a fund that moves directly with the price of Bitcoin. There are already Bitcoin future ETFs that bet on the future price of Bitcoin, but future ETFs do not move directly with the asset. Grayscale has been trying to become a spot Bitcoin ETF for a while now, but the asset management company Blackrock, along with others, have recently also tried to get a spot Bitcoin ETF created. I think that this is very bullish.

The reason I believe this is bullish is because a spot Bitcoin ETF opens up a lot of possibilities. First, it makes it easier for the average person to store Bitcoin. I have had many people tell me that they want to buy Bitcoin. When they do, I try to explain to them how storing Bitcoin works. Right now, one can store their Bitcoin on their own digital wallet. When one creates that wallet, they get a seed phrase that is essentially the password to that wallet (a very very long password). It’s a password one can’t lose. If one loses that password, they cannot get into their wallet ever again. This is how a lot of people buy Bitcoin and then lose access to it forever. With a spot ETF, one can invest into it like a stock which is much easier.

Secondly, it lets people hold Bitcoin in their Roth IRAs. There are companies already one can use to put Bitcoin in their Roths, but a Bitcoin ETF would make this much easier. I believe that Bitcoin being an option for retirement accounts would greatly increase demand.

I believe that a spot Bitcoin ETF will eventually get approved. Grayscale recently won an appeal with the SEC that I think is very good news. I see this as very beneficial to Bitcoin long-term.

Will this help Bitcoin’s price movement in Q4 2023? I believe that it should, but even if it doesn’t, I believe that this will help the price of Bitcoin long-term. I also hope that it doesn’t yet, as I would like to keep buying Bitcoin at as low prices as I can. If the positive news doesn’t help Bitcoin’s price for a bit, that is very much good news for me.

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4 ETFs That I Like

I constantly see people giving advice to invest in ETFs (exchange traded funds) and not individual stocks. While I think the sentiment of this advice is good, there are a lot of ETFs out there. Some are great ones; some are terrible ones. Telling someone to “just invest in ETFs” alone is not good advice. That said, here are some ETFs that I do like.

  1. SFY – SoFi Select 500 ETF

SFY is a S&P 500 ETF from SoFi. The reason I really like this ETF compared to other S&P 500 ETFs (although I do also like VOO) is because it has an expense ratio of 0. The expense ratio is the management fee that a fund’s creator takes. SFY’s is 0.

2. SCHD Schwab U.S. Dividend ETF

I believe that SCHD is likely the best dividend ETF out there. Since its creation in 2011, it has outperformed the S&P 500. Now, past performance does not necessarily equal future performance, but the fund has performed pretty amazingly.

3. VUG – Vanguard Growth ETF

This fund by Vanguard invests into growth stocks. Most of these stocks are very large cap U.S. companies. I’m a pretty optimistic investor which is a big reason that I really like this fund.

4. VFH Financials ETF

This ETF invests in the financial sector. I like this ETF because I want exposure to this sector without having to pick individual companies in it.

These are some of the ETFs I am a fan of.

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AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Stock is Down 42.79% Over the Last 5 Days

AMC Entertainment is down 42.79% over the last 5 days. This is largely due to them announcing that they would be selling up to 40 million new shares to raise money. This is a big deal to shareholders as it dilutes their ownership level of the company. When a company issues more shares to raise money, the amount of shares that an investor holds remains the same. This means that the shareholders now own less of the company than they did before.

Shareholders now have a decision to make. They have to decide if they want to sell their shares or hold their shares and watch their ownership level of the company shrink. Obviously, a lot of shareholders are choosing the first option. This is, however, not the first time that this has happened. AMC has already sold millions of shares in recent years. They have, unfortunately, used up that cash and are now selling more.

It is not uncommon for companies to issue new shares to raise money. It is also not always a bad thing either. Many high growth companies operate at a loss as they are reinvesting all their revenue into the business to keep growing. This can be a good thing as the company can now reinvest that new cash back into the business to grow even faster. The investor’s shares will then become more valuable as they now own a higher revenue producing company.

AMC now trades at a market cap of $1.14 billion at time of writing.

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Is Consolidated Water Co. Stock a Buy?

Investment research company Zacks recently reported Consolidated Water Co. (Ticker: CWCO) as a “strong buy”, but is the stock a buy?

CWCO constructs and manages water production and water treatment plants. They’re mostly found in the Bahamas, Cayman Islands, and the United States. They currently trade at a market cap of around $460 million.

The company currently has a p/e ratio (price divided by earnings per share) of 31.13 which I personally believe is pretty high. Last year, the company received $94.1 million in revenue and earned $5.86 million. The year before that they earned $66.86 million and earned around $875 thousand. The company also offers a dividend yield of 1.28%.

The reason this stock received a strong buy rating by Zacks is because they increased earnings 47.4% over the last 60 days. While that is impressive, the company does seem to be trading at a pretty hefty valuation premium still.

Looking at the stock’s fundamentals, one will find that the company currently has a price to book ratio of 2.56 and a price to sales ratio of 3.31. Both of these are traditionally viewed as very high. Looking at the company’s balance sheet, one will also find that the company has $2.38 million in total debt. This gives them a current ratio of 3.72. A current ratio this high could signal financial strength, but it could also indicate that the company is not good at investing the cash that it has.

Overall, I do believe that the company is overvalued, but most analysts do seem to place this stock between a strong buy and a buy rating. The stock is up 97.7% so far year to date at time of writing.

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